Robinhood and The Woods of the Contrarian – Charts of the Day

Robinhood, Money, Falling Knifes
  • Robinhood users aren’t behaving as I expected.
  • They aren’t buying tech stocks in the first place but industry holdings.
  • The further the price falls, the more people buy stocks.
  • Are they contrarian investors, bargain hunters, or only novices? 

 

What Is The Robinhood App and Who’s Using It?

For the case you aren’t familiar with the Robinhood App, some words about it. It is a famous investing application that introduced commission-free trades some years ago. People can invest per smartphone in stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, and options. Also, with tiny amounts. It is very popular among young people, Z or Y generations (millennials). In December 2019, the application had approximately 10 million users. In spring 2020, in the coronavirus-crash, another 3 million registered.

Do you remember the 1,200 USD rescue checks of the US government? Many people bought stocks for it, not food. By a report of  CNBC:

 

Trading stocks was among the most common uses for the government stimulus checks in nearly every income bracket, according to software and data aggregation company Envestnet Yodlee. People earning between $35,000 and $75,000 annually traded stocks about 90% more than the week prior to receiving their stimulus check… The coronavirus rout also appeared to bring a copious amount of new accounts to online brokers in the first quarter. (CNBC

 

Tracking Millions of Small Robinhood Investors

But what are buying all these people in the Robinhood App? We have some information about it, the data is public. The site Robintrack.net is providing charts, you can search for the ticker codes.

 

Robintrack keeps track of how many Robinhood users hold a particular stock over time. It generates charts showing the relationship between price and popularity and compiles some lists using the data.

I found the results pretty interesting, in particular, the “leaderboard”. My assumption was young people are buying modern, high-tech companies in the first place. But the top list is led by industrial companies like Ford, General Electric. Flight industry titles like American Airlines and Delta Air Lines. Also, Disney is on the list, the entertainment company with a lot of bad news this year. (Like closed cinemas and theme parks.)

Ford Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)
Ford Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)

Is Robinhood a Bargain Hunter?

The charts show Robinhood investors are buying beaten-down stocks in plagued industries. They seem to be bargain hunters, shopping for items sold at cheap, discounted prices. The charts show that the further the price falls, the more people buy from the most popular stocks.

General Electric Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)
General Electric Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)

But the big question is whether these companies will go bankrupt. For example, if the virus crisis will last a long time. If new waves of the coronavirus-infection will come. “Don’t try to catch a falling knife” – the old phrase reminds us of that. A “falling knife” stock can quickly rebound, but the company may also lose all its value, go bankrupt.

Disney Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)
Disney Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)

Is Robinhood a Contrarian?

But we know Robinhood users aren’t the whole market. They may be a group with a large number but with a small capital strength. They also seem to be “contrarian investors”, because they are buying when other groups are selling.

American Airlines Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)
American Airlines Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)

 

Contrarian Investing is an investment strategy that is characterized by purchasing and selling in contrast to the prevailing sentiment of the time. A contrarian believes that certain crowd behavior among investors can lead to exploitable mispricings in securities markets. (Wikipedia)

 

 

But since most of them are reportedly young and novice, they may not act so consciously. Perhaps a contrarian strategy can be built on these Robinhood data. We will probably see this in a few months.

 

One of the most useful things that you can do with the data that this site provides is to figure out how people are reacting to moves in the market. Depending on if people are buying the dip, getting onboard during a pump because they think it’s going to go higher, or taking profits, this data lets you observe each of those different situations and plan your own trading accordingly. (Robintrack.net)

 

 

Aurora Cannabis Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)
Aurora Cannabis Stock Price and Robinhood Users Holding (Robintrack.net)

Disclaimer

I’m not a certified financial advisor nor a certified financial analyst, accountant nor lawyer. The contents on my site and in my posts are for informational and entertainment purposes and reflecting my collection of data, ideas, opinions. Please, make your proper research or consult your advisors before making any investment or financial or legal decisions.

(Photos: Pixabay.com.)

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